If the federal government tries to increase the amount of its tax collections by eliminating or limiting the mortgage interest tax deduction, who’s most at risk of seeing their taxes go up?
To find out, we tapped the U.S. Congress’ Joint Committee on Taxation’s report on tax expenditures for 2010-2014, which provides the breakdown of how much of the mortgage interest tax deduction is claimed by taxpayer income level for the 2009 tax year.
We then used that data to construct the distribution of the mortgage interest tax deduction by taxpayer household income below:
As you can see in the chart above, the greatest amount of “losses” to the federal government, at least, from the perspective of a hypothetical government overlord, is represented by taxpayer households who have incomes in the range between $50,000 and $150,000.
Meanwhile, President Obama has proposed limiting or eliminating the tax deduction for mortgage interest for individuals with incomes over $200,000 or households with incomes over $250,000.
But given the amount of spending the President would like to do, we find it’s unlikely that only these high income earners will be affected. If such a change to the U.S. tax code is implemented, we would expect that the income threshold that would see the tax reduction benefit of the mortgage interest deduction will be lowered over time.
Joint Committee on Taxation. JCS-3-10: Estimates of Federal Tax Expenditures for Fiscal Years 2010-2014. Table 3 – Distribution by Income Class of Selected Individual Tax Expenditure Items, at 2009 Rates and 2009 Income Levels. http://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=download&id=3718&chk=3718&no_html=1. 21 December 2010.
[...] The U.S. Mortage Interest Deduction by Income Level – MyGovCost: “If the federal government tries to increase the amount of its tax collections by eliminating or limiting the mortgage interest tax deduction, who’s most at risk of seeing their taxes go up? To find out, we tapped the U.S. Congress’ Joint Committee on Taxation’s report on tax expenditures for 2010-2014, which provides the breakdown of how much of the mortgage interest tax deduction is claimed by taxpayer income level for the 2009 tax year. We then used that data to construct the distribution of the mortgage interest tax deduction by taxpayer household income … As you can see in the chart above, the greatest amount of “losses” to the federal government, at least, from the perspective of a hypothetical government overlord, is represented by taxpayer households who have incomes in the range between $50,000 and $150,000. Meanwhile, President Obama has proposed limiting or eliminating the tax deduction for mortgage interest for individuals with incomes over $200,000 or households with incomes over $250,000. But given the amount of spending the President would like to do, we find it’s unlikely that only these high income earners will be affected. If such a change to the U.S. tax code is implemented, we would expect that the income threshold that would see the tax reduction benefit of the mortgage interest deduction will be lowered over time.” Share this:ShareEmailPrintFacebookTags: Real Estate, taxes /* [...]
But let’s not loose sight of the fact that the mortgage deduction is really a subsidized interest reduction (welfare) for the middle class. It would be much better to end all such subsidies, and replace them with lower initial tax rates, leaving more currency in the market place. Maintaining a mortgage in an effort to get tax reductions is counter to a Free-Market, just as subsidizing child-birth through tax deductions/credits, and incentivizing such behavior is counterintuitive to a government trying to reverse a debt cycle. The debt holder should bear the cost of such debts, not the community at large via special tax breaks. These games – at all levels – are what got us into this mess, only ending them will get us out (well that, and actually reinstating actual “money” in this country).
With that said, there was a point left out of this report; the cost to the poor. A higher percentage of poor rent rather vs. own, than any other economic class. Most landlords will fit the bill that Obama is targeting ($250k +). As such, without this subsidy to the wealthier land-lords, the rents will go up for the poor (all costs are borne by the consumer, NOT the entity providing the goods/services). The “tax the rich” mentality always hurts the people who purchase the goods/services that the rich provide. As such, we tax the rich, the rich raise the consumer prices, the poor can no longer afford these consumer prices, the government subsidizes the poor, the government cannot afford such subsidies so it borrows, the debt ceiling raises, and we as a nation go deeper and deeper into debt, our children grow up and elect politicians that will “give” them what they want, and the cycle continues… fun game, no? Again, the answer is to lower taxes across the board, rather than specialized tax breaks, this puts more cash into the market at all levels, and reduces the government’s role in the economy.
This would appear to be an argument for a flat-tax, and on the surface it is, but a better argument would be to return the government to its constitutional limits, which would in and of itself eliminate all of the tax breaks, and excessive spending. In other words – the boys in Washington follow the law just as we citizens are required to. BUT the Constitution has no teeth, there are no penalties for politicians who break the law and violate their oath of office (treason), so my point is moot. Nothing to see here, ignore the man behind the curtain.
Why not do away with all tax deductions!!! Then assess everyone the same percentage rate of total gross income. When we go to the polls to vote, all people cast one vote, regardless of income or social status. What could be more American!!!
[...] version of the “Buffett Tax”, which would raise taxes by going after the charitable and mortgage interest tax deductions of households with incomes in excess of $250,000 or individuals with incomes in [...]
Why can’t I claim my mortgage interest that I pay on my house every year. Me and my wife combined make about $46,000 dollars and for some reason my filer tells us that we don’t have enough to put it on this year’s filing because its about $11,000. We pay about $5,000-$6,000.
Celestino— you “can’t” claim the mortgage interest deduction because your standard deduction amount is LARGER than your itemized amount. If you took the itemized amount (which you allowed to do) you would actually pay more taxes.
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We are sick of Congress sticking it to the people. Cut the wars, defense, find some fat in the budget.
Babye to you in November!