A Debt Reduction Proposal Scorecard


Monday April 9th, 2012   •   Posted by Craig Eyermann at 8:46am PDT   •   4 Comments

Do you ever feel like you need a scorecard to keep track of all the various spending proposals being put forward for the U.S. federal government’s budget?

If so, you’re in luck! The Mercatus Center has put together the following chart that you can use as a scorecard to see how well each of the major proposals to date do at bringing the nation’s skyrocketing debt into control:

Public Debt Under Various Proposals

Some quick notes:

The varies trajectories shown above apply only to the “publically-held” portion of the nation’s total public debt outstanding. It does not include the “intragovernmental” portion of the national debt, even though this portion of the debt accounts for over 30% of the total U.S. national debt and will shift more and more over time to the publically-held side of the government’s ledger, given the currently active and much-faster-than-previously-projected depletion of the Social Security trust fund.

The CBO’s baseline budget, which relies on the expiration of major tax hikes and no new government spending to achieve its debt reductions, should not be considered to be a serious proposal. It relies on both today’s and tomorrow’s politicians to do absolutely nothing other than to follow the current law with respect to the budget exactly as it is written, which is something that U.S. politicians have proven to be unable to do for any sustained period of time where their interests are involved, with the current leadership of the U.S. Senate being the only exception in modern U.S. budgetary history, unless there is actually something to the speculation surrounding their inaction.

The Republican and Fiscal Commission proposal debt trajectories rely mainly upon spending reductions to achieve their debt reductions, although the Fiscal Commission’s proposal also employs a number of tax increases. The Republican proposal also includes a number of tax reforms that would increase the government’s net tax collections (reducing loopholes, broadening the tax base, etc.), but to a lesser degree.

Meanwhile, President Obama’s two proposals rely primarily upon major tax hikes to achieve the bulk of his projected debt reduction, seeking to preserve spending. Also, note the difference between what President Obama proposed in September 2011 and in his official budget proposal just five months later. That’s a significant increase in proposed future spending, which is why the President’s newest proposal never meaningfully reduces the national debt with respect to the nation’s GDP.

The last trajectory is the CBO’s alternative fiscal scenario, which projects the nation’s debt trajectory if today’s and tomorrow’s politicians continue to act as if there is no problem with the growth of the U.S. debt.

And that’s the scorecard! Which trajectory are you rooting for to win?



4 Responses to “A Debt Reduction Proposal Scorecard”

  1. Joe Moore says:

    Where’s the Ron Paul trajectory? What would it look like if we actually cut $1 trillion in spending?

  2. libertarian jerry says:

    There are several observations here: 1st. There is no Social Security Trust Fund. What they call a “Trust Fund” is primarily made up of Government Debt Bonds that have to be paid for with more taxes. All the money that was collected for Social Security’s so called “lock Box” has already been spent. In essence,despite all the fancy words by politicians and so called “economic planners,” Social Security is bankrupt. Basically the money comes in and the money is paid out as a benefit. What we have,in truth,is the world’s largest Ponzi Scheme. 2. We don’t have real or honest money. Real or honest money is gold and silver. What we have is debt money put into circulation and lent out by a private banking consortium called the Federal Reserve. This private central banking cartel is put in place to control the money and credit of the world’s leading economy. But in fact it acts to benefit the banking cartel in concert with the Federal Government to steal the wealth of the productive American people and redistribute that wealth to the Political Class and the Super Rich Globalists. 3rd. The National Debt will never be paid off,its a mathematical impossibility. The debt is designed to keep the American people as debt serfs forever. With the American Government,and by implication,the American People constantly in debt, America’s sovereignty and economic independence will be a thing of the past. It is obvious to any observer that there is a drive for a one world government and this can only be accomplished by bringing America to its economic knees. The only way to solve this situation is to:1. Close down the Federal Reserve System and have the U.S. Treasury issue money and credit debt free. 2.Abolish the Legal Tender Laws and follow the Constitution by having “nothing but gold and silver as legal tender in payment of debts.” 3. Repudiate the National Debt and allow the private owners of the Federal Reserve “take a haircut” on their holdings. 4. Pay off all U.S. Treasuries with Federal issued currency. And 5.probably,most importantly,dismantle and phase out over several years the American Welfare/Warfare State. This is to make sure that people who depend on Social Security and other entitlements will not have the rug pulled out from them. In essence America must declare bankruptcy and start over again. It is blatantly unfair to saddle future generations with this insidious,un-payable debt. Its time to realize that the dismantlement of the American Empire at home and abroad is the only rational way to restore our liberties and our national wealth.

  3. kg says:

    @libertarian Jerri,
    Your observations could be a sound, fiscal solution but it’ll never be aloud to be enacted. THAT would require the Political Parties to do something for our Sovereignty...

  4. Beauford Burton says:

    Here’s an idea for debt reduction.
    Whether you are Democrat, Republican or Independent you should know that we never see a party win a true majority of the population. Why, because so few vote.
    Since 1960 the percentage of voters in presidential elections was only 50% to 63% of the voting age population. Non-presidential elections have even lower turnouts. When anyone speaks of the silent majority they are not far off track. Nearly half of our people never vote so it’s easy to see how we are not helping ourselves.
    If you’re not registered to vote you should do so now.
    If you are registered you should vote and thank God that you have that privilege.

    Assuming we could get 100% of the voting age population registered and voting it would be interesting to see if the elections were still so close. With most elections being won by only a few points it looks as though our country is thoroughly divided. I’m not so certain that’s true but let’s suppose it is.

    If we are almost 50-50 in what we think best in our country, wouldn’t it be great to separate our nation (temporarily) into two sections as a test to determine who’s right? Split everything down the middle including the government’s three branches. Split the income, split the debt. Have two Presidents. Do it by blue states and red states. Have the separation be limited to 10 years. At the end of the 10 years the results of the best way to govern would be clear and we could adopt the better governing process for the once again “United States”.

    I know this a fictional dream but should it be? I’m by no means promoting civil unrest, quite the contrary. We already have civil unrest. In the end, radical thinking may be the only way to solve our differences and remold our nation.

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