How does the Government Cost Calculator work?
The Calculator takes in a user’s education level and age. On an individual basis it projects the user’s future income trajectory and life expectancy. On a national basis it projects future GDP growth, future federal spending and future tax revenue. It then gives users an estimate of their share of future taxes and federal spending proportional to their current and future income.
What does “typical investment scenario” mean?
The typical scenario assumes the stock market earns the same average return as it has since 1871. This percentage return thus adjusts for highs and lows in the stock market and also assumes full reinvestment of dividends. The stock market figures are corrected for inflation, are given in present-day dollars, and do not include the effects of fees, taxes, or other transaction costs.
The Calculator combines data from the most recent annual reports published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. Census Bureau, and the Congressional Budget Office. For more information on our sources, please see Methodology.
I used the calculator and got my results, but what can I do with this information?
MyGovCost.org is designed as an educational tool with the purpose of informing users how federal government spending programs impact them directly. This critical piece of knowledge ties in to our larger mission of creating a more transparent view of the federal budget, and illustrates government’s ever-expanding reach into our personal lives.
Users are encouraged to share their results and the information they have learned with others by joining in the conversations available through social networking sites, commenting on their results, and using the Calculator as a reference in policy discussions where relevant. Most of all, we hope users walk away ready to get involved and fight back! Click here to learn more about how you can help or do more with the Independent Institute and MyGovCost.org.
I’m retired or currently unemployed. What should I enter?
If you are currently retired or living on a fixed income, use the net annual payments you receive as your income. If you are currently unemployed, use your most recent net annual salary to obtain an estimate of what your liability will be when you return to the labor force. Otherwise, you may use your net fixed income payment.
You skipped an expensive government program. Why isn’t it listed?
As federal spending initiatives and amendments to the annual federal budget make their way through Congress, it’s not always clear which changes will become permanent or how a particular piece of legislation will affect federal spending. MyGovCost.org does not include any pending legislation or federal spending programs that Congress has yet to finalize. If you are interested in a particular initiative or you think we may have missed something, you can contact us here.
How often do you update your data?
MyGovCost.org relies primarily on annual data from federal budget expenditure reports, census data, and annual data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. For that data, we update annually as those reports become available. For new federal spending initiatives, we update our estimates based on the most recently available and federally approved legislative spending reports. We do not include changes to federal programs stemming from legislation still pending before Congress or unsigned by the President.
I’ve seen other calculators like this. Why is this one any different?
Most tools available to calculate government spending show per capita costs of government programs or the federal deficit. At MyGovCost.org, users get a unique picture of how these programs affect them directly because our calculations provide more detailed estimates based on your earnings, age, and education. Moreover, our Calculator provides an estimate of the value of your tax burden, had you been able to save and invest
it—thereby providing a more complete picture of what you forgo by having tax dollars spent by the federal government. Finally, MyGovCost.org includes calculations for current spending initiatives that are an important part of current policy discussion.
How can I figure out my state and local costs?
The Calculator is designed exclusively for understanding the incidence of federal government spending. State and local governments differ dramatically in the types of spending programs in place and the size of those spending initiatives. Most states have local-area policy groups that perform regional studies on the cost of state spending programs. You can increase awareness in these issues at a local level by sharing your results with others on social networking sites.
Why can’t I input gender, advanced degree, or years left to work?
The Calculator incorporates U.S. Census data to model the typical income trajectory an individual with a given level of education will have during their primary working years as accurately as possible. However, that data has some built-in limitations.
For example, in the case of gender, the U.S. Census breaks down individual income data by age and education level, but not by age, education level, and gender, which makes it extremely difficult to incorporate gender and accurately project lifetime income trajectories.
For advanced degrees, the Census data used to construct the various income trajectories by age and education level for these categories can swing wildly from year to year, so much so that in some years, there’s not enough data to be reported. This makes accurately modeling those income trajectories pretty problematic. In this case, since fewer than 10 percent of Americans have earned advanced degrees, we chose to focus on the more than 90 percent of Americans who have earned up to a bachelor’s degree.
Finally, the option to consider the years left to work was not added because of the potential complexity that would need to be accommodated. Aside from considering early retirement, which would be the simplest option, there’s also the situation of delayed entry into the workforce, or prolonged career sabbaticals (say an individual leaves the workforce to be a stay-at-home parent for a decade, goes back to school, etc.).
The best way to think of the Calculator is that it shows how an average American with the given initial age, income and selected education level will fare over a long period of time. That provides for two levels of insight that can be gained from the calculator: one for the average American, the other for how you compare with the average American.
If I plan to stop working in 5 years, how do I know what my costs will be?
The answer to that question hinges on what you expect your post-working income will to be. One way to determine the cost of government in your post-working life would be to enter your current income in the tool calculator, recording what your costs will be for the remaining five years you will be working, and then to enter the estimated annual income you might expect after you stop working, recording what your costs will be from six years out into the future. Adding the combined results together will give you a good idea of what the cost of government will be for your unique situation.
If that sounds complex, it is! The Calculator aims to provide a simple interface that will work to deliver solid results for a very wide variety of users. That design choice limits its ability to directly consider every possible scenario a user might wish to consider. It’s not impossible, it just takes some additional work on the part of the user.
Can I know what my expenditure was last year alone? For the last 5 years alone?
The Calculator was designed to start with the data for 2009 and look forward for an individual from the age they enter until the commonly recognized age of retirement of 65. The data charts are capable of reporting what each expenditure or cost is for any given age or year, which means that you could simply record the data for your specific years or ages of interest, then add them together to get the sum you seek.
I input my figures and calculated it for the total and then did so for each government program; why don’t the numbers add up?
The Calculator considers all government expenditures and sources of receipts, which are not all listed as part of the available options to select. Here, in the interest of not overwhelming users with the full range of things upon which the government spends taxpayers’ money, the available choices to select were narrowed down to those that might be of special interest to a wide range of taxpayers.
Why didn’t my comment appear in the guest book or the blog?
In order to reduce commercial spam, all comments on MyGovCost.org require the user to submit his or her email address. (Don’t worry—your email address will remain invisible to the public.) On rare occasions, should we find a user’s comments to be distasteful or off topic, we will remove this material at our discretion. More often, our server may simply be experiencing a delay in updating reader comments.
What personal information does MyGovCost.org gather?
What does each of the federal spending categories include?
I have suggestions for this site; who should I tell?
If you have a suggestion for how MyGovCost.org could improve our services or simply would like to make a recommendation for the site, please contact us here.
MyGovCost.org has been made possible by the generous support of private donors who share our concern over the continuously growing level of federal spending. In an effort to make trillions of dollars of government debt easily understood on a personal level, these donors have joined with the Independent Institute to create this new website and multimedia tool.
How can I help support MyGovCost.org?
If you share our concern about the federal debt and the ever-expanding reach of the government, you can make a donation to support MyGovCost.org. To learn about other programs of the Independent Institute, membership benefits, and ways to help us to promote liberty, peace, and prosperity, please visit http://www.independent.org/membership/. For any additional questions regarding donating or partnering with the Independent Institute, please call our Development Associate, Terra Strong, at 510–632–1366.